Estimate a potential POLY allocation for any wallet — volume-weighted with a skill bonus, modeled on historical DEX airdrops. No token is announced; every assumption is yours to adjust.
Paste a 0x address or search 200k+ Polymarket traders by username — same search as the leaderboard.
Lifetime volume earns the base allocation, realized profit earns a skill bonus, a per-wallet cap blunts wash volume — the dYdX / ARB / HL playbook.
Drag FDV, supply, pool share and rates. The figure recomputes live and your scenario is saved on your device.
No. Polymarket has not announced a token or an airdrop. This checker is a speculative what-if model with fully disclosed assumptions, in the spirit of pre-TGE points trackers.
The model follows historical DEX/perps airdrops (dYdX, Arbitrum, Hyperliquid): 2 POLY per $100 of lifetime traded volume, plus a skill bonus of 10 POLY per $100 of realized profit, capped per wallet at 0.05% of an assumed 15% community pool. Every assumption is adjustable on the result card.
The default scenario assumes a 10B total supply and a $1B fully-diluted valuation — about $0.10 per POLY. Drag the FDV and supply sliders to model your own scenario.
Any Polymarket wallet — paste a 0x address or search a trader by their Polymarket username. The numbers come from public Polymarket data (lifetime volume and realized PnL).
Speculative model · public Polymarket data · not financial advice